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Step 7 — Attribution

16:10 ET · 涨跌归因 · Surprise · Decision Log

Day 1
8/9 Steps
Agent 结论 真正 Driver:NFP + AI Chip Selloff · Attribution:AI 60% · Bond 0% · Hypothesis:部分对 · Scenario C→B 未命中 NFP + AI Chip Selloff 主导;Scenario C→B 未命中

Step 7 — S7 16:10 Evening Review

今日真正 Driver、Morning 对错、Decision Log

字段 内容
判断 真正 Driver:NFP + AI Chip Selloff · Attribution:AI 60% · Bond 0% · Hypothesis:部分对 · Scenario C→B 未命中
置信度 N/A
一句话 NFP + AI Chip Selloff 主导;Scenario C→B 未命中

Step 7 — Evening Review (Attribution Engine)

7.1 Outcome Attribution

Driver Contribution
AI / Semiconductor 60%
Bond / Rates 0%
Oil / Geo 2%
Macro Data 40%
Other 0%

7.2 True Driver

7.2b Scenario (P15)

7.3 Surprise

7.4 Decision Log

Field Value
Today's Driver NFP + AI Chip Selloff
Driver Splits NFP 40% · AI Chip Selloff 60%
Hypothesis H-2026-07-02-001 · 部分对
Scenario (P15) 预测 C → 实际 B · 未命中
Attribution NFP 40% · AI Chip Selloff 60%
Surprise Split attribution: NFP 40% + Chip Selloff 60%
Trade Decision No Trade