30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
No actionable primary at re-eval (or Morning had none) · ADVISORY
Morning: ARM SHORT · READY
ARM SHORT · Ideal Entry Zone 237–239 · Live ER +1.89% · Gate No Trade
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
nuclear — Vistra Is the Quietest Big Winner of the AI Power Boom. Here's Why.
Treasury’s Bessent to Detail US Plan to Economically Isolate Iran
XLE +0.0% · 4 oil headlines
Geopolitical Risk + Geopolitical Risk + Geopolitical Risk (Iran)
Gate:No Trade
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARM ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability |
SHORT | Swing | 80.0% | 2.04% | Reward/Risk 3.26 | Entry Zone 237–239 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$239.49 | $233.15 | RS弱于QQQ -5.08% · RS弱于SMH -3.74% · Volume 信号 · VIX 走高 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk | Close above stop $239.49 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
#1:ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Extended Gap on ARM
EV $+240 (win +$325 @ 80.0% · loss -$100)
「做空 ARM:在 238.0 附近入场,目标 233.15,预期 +2.04%」
「波段做空 NVDA:理想入场 $214.54–$218.06,止损 $223.81,目标 $203.68(约 +5.3%),持仓天数–数周」
H-2026-08-24-001 · AI/Semiconductor leads index today; macro is secondary variable
Scenario B:若 Geopolitical Risk 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Relative Weakness
Why vs #2:ARM RS -5.1% vs MU -3.5%;ER 1.9% vs 1.3%;higher beta (37.3 vs 25.7);relative weakness play
final = win_prob(80%) × ER(1.9%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Geopolitical Risk」→ XLE, UUP, QQQ
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | -1.2% | -6.63% | ▼ |
| UUP | — | — | — |
| QQQ | 5.43% | +0.00% | — |