30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1 unchanged vs Morning: ARM · ADVISORY
Morning: ARM SHORT · READY
ARM SHORT · Ideal Entry Zone 270–272 · Live ER +1.52% · Gate No Trade
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + best reward/risk
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
Stocks Climb as Oil Retreats on Iran Deal Hopes: Markets Wrap
ism about ai hype and concerns about limited upside potential, increased competition from tech companies developing their own chips, and vulnerability to a potential tech bubble collapse. nvidia ai chips valuation peg multiple tech bubble semiconductor competition growth stocks — Is Nvidia Stock Still a Good Buy at $220?
tariff — Arabica Coffee Prices Hit Record on U.S., Colombia Tariff Spat
Geopolitical Risk (Iran) + Macro Surprise + Oil Selloff
Gate:Wait
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARM ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + best reward/risk |
SHORT | Intraday | 69.0% | 1.65% | Reward/Risk 13.97 | Entry Zone 270.60–271.24 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$271.24 | $266.45 | RS弱于QQQ -4.24% · RS弱于SMH -2.96% · News 1 (利空做空) · Volume 信号 | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Macro Surprise | Close above stop $271.24 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + best reward/risk
Extended Gap on ARM
EV $+931 (win +$1395 @ 69.0% · loss -$100)
「做空 ARM:在 270.92 附近入场,目标 266.45,预期 +1.65%」
「波段做多 NVDA:理想入场 $215.30–$219.95,止损 $209.05,目标 $235.24(约 +7.3%),持仓天数–数周」
H-2026-08-11-001 · AI/Semiconductor leads index today; macro is secondary variable
Scenario B:若 Geopolitical Risk (Iran) 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Relative Weakness
Why vs #2:ARM RS -4.2% vs AMD -2.2%;ER 1.5% vs 0.7%;relative weakness play
final = win_prob(69%) × ER(1.5%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Geopolitical Risk (Iran)」→ XLE, UUP, QQQ
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 11.32% | +12.24% | ▲ |
| UUP | -0.25% | +0.67% | ▲ |
| QQQ | -0.92% | +0.00% | — |