30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
Indian Stocks, Rupee Slide After Trump Reignites Iran Tensions
tariff — Arabica Coffee Prices Hit Record on U.S., Colombia Tariff Spat
SMH -2.3% · semis lagging · AI headline flow
Geopolitical Risk (Iran) + Geopolitical Risk (Iran)
Gate:No Trade
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARM ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability |
SHORT | — | 85.0% | 2.29% | Reward/Risk 0.53 | Entry Zone 289–291 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$302.65 | $283.36 | RS弱于QQQ -0.58% · 昨日弱势 -7.6% 延续下行 · Gap 未过度延伸 · VIX 走高 | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $302.65 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 2 | MU | SHORT | — | 84.0% | 1.22% | Reward/Risk 0.21 | Entry Zone 886–892 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$940.15 | $878.13 | RS弱于QQQ -2.12% · RS弱于SMH -1.73% · 昨日弱势 -4.0% 延续下行 · VIX 走高 | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $940.15 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 3 | AMD | SHORT | — | 64.0% | 2.67% | Reward/Risk 0.88 | Entry Zone 506.00–506.64 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$521.7 | $492.82 | 昨日弱势 -6.6% 延续下行 · Gap 未过度延伸 · News 1 (利空做空) · VIX 走高 | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $521.7 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 4 | TQQQ | SHORT | — | 62.0% | 2.22% | Reward/Risk 0.51 | Entry Zone 69.61–69.79 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$72.75 | $68.15 | RS弱于QQQ -3.80% · 昨日弱势 -3.2% 延续下行 · Volume 信号 · VIX 走高 · Geo-risk day — avoid blind TQQQ short vs escalation | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $72.75 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 5 | SMH | SHORT | — | 61.0% | 1.03% | Reward/Risk 0.34 | Entry Zone 569.00–569.74 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$586.47 | $563.48 | RS弱于QQQ -0.39% · 昨日弱势 -3.2% 延续下行 · Gap 未过度延伸 · Volume 信号 · VIX 走高 · Geo-risk day — avoid blind SMH short vs escalation | Geopolitical Risk (Iran) · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $586.47 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability
Low Breadth
EV $+26 (win +$47 @ 85.0% · loss -$88)
「做空 ARM:在 290.01 附近入场,目标 283.36,预期 +2.29%」
H-2026-07-08-001 · AI/Semiconductor leads index today; macro is secondary variable
Scenario B:若 Geopolitical Risk (Iran) 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Stock Edge
Why vs #2:ARM RS -0.6% vs MU -2.1%;ER 3.3% vs 2.5%;Win% 85 vs 84;relative weakness play
final = win_prob(85%) × ER(3.3%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Geopolitical Risk (Iran)」→ XLE, UUP, QQQ
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 19.58% | +19.30% | ▲ |
| UUP | — | — | — |
| QQQ | 0.28% | +0.00% | — |