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Market Case · 2026-08-18

Day 33

Day 33
8/9 Steps

Regime · Hypothesis

R0 Regime
Unknown (50.0%)
Hypothesis
ID

Labels · Attribution

真正 Driver
None
Hypothesis 结果
None
Scenario 预测
None
Scenario 实际
None
Scenario 命中
AI 贡献
0%
Bond
0%

Surprise · Lesson

Surprise:

Lesson:

Evidence / Counter

Evidence

Counter

Step 快捷入口

原始 JSON
{
  "date": "2026-08-18",
  "features": {
    "dgs10": null,
    "dgs2": null,
    "vix": null,
    "vix_chg": null,
    "qqq_chg": null,
    "smh_chg": null,
    "nvda_chg": null,
    "spy_chg": null,
    "oil_chg": null,
    "dxy_chg": null,
    "breadth_proxy": null,
    "qqq_gap": null,
    "news_headline_count": null,
    "news_bearish_ratio": null,
    "news_ai_mentions": null,
    "news_macro_mentions": null
  },
  "regime": {
    "label": "Unknown",
    "confidence": 0.5
  },
  "hypothesis": {
    "id": "",
    "statement": "",
    "evidence": [],
    "counter_evidence": [],
    "confidence": 0.5,
    "status": "待验证"
  },
  "morning": {},
  "intraday": {},
  "trade_plan": {},
  "actual": {},
  "attribution": {
    "ai": 0.0,
    "bond": 0.0,
    "oil": 0.0,
    "macro": 0.0,
    "other": 0.0,
    "splits": {}
  },
  "labels": {
    "actual_driver": null,
    "agent_driver": null,
    "agent_driver_type": null,
    "corrected_driver_from_verify": null,
    "driver_splits": {},
    "hypothesis_correct": null,
    "scenario_primary": null,
    "scenario_actual": null,
    "scenario_correct": null,
    "trade_recommendation": null,
    "trade_direction": null,
    "primary_symbol": null,
    "predicted_return_pct": null,
    "prediction_error_pct": null
  },
  "surprise": null,
  "lesson": null,
  "playbook_refs": [],
  "bayesian_drivers": {
    "AI": 1.0,
    "Bond": 0.0,
    "Macro": 0.0,
    "Oil": 0.0,
    "Risk": 0.0
  },
  "data_gaps": []
}