30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1 unchanged vs Morning: ARM · ADVISORY
Morning: ARM SHORT · TRIGGERED
ARM SHORT · Ideal Entry Zone 243.05–243.70 · Live ER +1.50% · Gate No Trade
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
nuclear — This Newly Public Nuclear IPO Is Already Using AI to Speed Up Reactor Design. Is
US, Iran Exchange Strikes for First Time in About a Month
XLE +0.0% · 5 oil headlines
Geopolitical Risk + Geopolitical Risk (Iran) + Geopolitical Risk (Iran)
Gate:No Trade
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARM ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability |
SHORT | Swing | 80.0% | 2.39% | Reward/Risk 1.79 | Entry Zone 239–240 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$242.88 | $233.94 | RS弱于QQQ -5.61% · RS弱于SMH -3.23% · Volume 信号 · VIX 走高 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk (Iran) | Close above stop $242.88 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
#1:ARM ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Extended Gap on ARM
EV $+122 (win +$178 @ 80.0% · loss -$100)
「做空 ARM:在 239.67 附近入场,目标 233.94,预期 +2.39%」
「波段做多 MSFT:理想入场 $502.38–$508.79,止损 $492.63,目标 $532.62(约 +5.0%),持仓天数–数周」
H-2026-08-31-001 · 弱 NFP 能否抵消 AI 抛售?(Macro 利率利好 vs 半导体风险)
Scenario B:若 Geopolitical Risk 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Relative Weakness
Why vs #2:ARM RS -5.6% vs NVDA -3.2%;ER 2.0% vs 1.1%;Win% 80 vs 57;higher beta (7.5 vs 4.7);relative weakness play
final = win_prob(80%) × ER(2.0%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Geopolitical Risk」→ XLE, UUP, QQQ
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 1.11% | -2.84% | ▼ |
| UUP | — | — | — |
| QQQ | 3.95% | +0.00% | — |