30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1 changed vs Morning: ARM LONG → AMD LONG · ADVISORY
Primary changed vs Morning Ideal
Morning: ARM LONG · ACTIVE
↻ AMD LONG · Ideal Entry Zone 534–537 · Live ER +3.63% · Gate No Trade
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability + best reward/risk
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
tariff — Arabica Coffee Prices Hit Record on U.S., Colombia Tariff Spat
XLE +0.0% · 2 oil headlines
SMH +3.8% leading
Oil Selloff
Gate:Trade
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARM ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability + best reward/risk |
LONG | Intraday | 82.0% | 3.26% | Reward/Risk 1.26 | Entry Zone 282.61–282.84 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$275.42 | $291.94 | RS vs QQQ +3.38% · RS vs SMH +1.02% · 昨日强势 +5.7% 今日 gap 可控 · VIX 回落 | Oil Selloff · Trade Policy | Close below stop $275.42 |
| 2 | AMD | LONG | Intraday | 76.0% | 3.04% | Reward/Risk 1.61 | Entry Zone 524–526 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$515.25 | $541.06 | RS vs QQQ +2.68% · 昨日强势 +5.8% 今日 gap 可控 · VIX 回落 | Oil Selloff · Trade Policy | Close below stop $515.25 |
| 3 | AVGO | LONG | Intraday | 70.0% | 2.85% | Reward/Risk 1.21 | Entry Zone 387.10–387.56 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$378.16 | $398.38 | RS vs QQQ +1.49% · 昨日强势 +5.0% 今日 gap 可控 · VIX 回落 | Oil Selloff · Trade Policy | Close below stop $378.16 |
| 4 | MU | LONG | Intraday | 72.0% | 1.87% | Reward/Risk 0.32 | Entry Zone 918–921 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$865.46 | $936.81 | RS vs QQQ +4.66% · RS vs SMH +2.30% · VIX 回落 | Oil Selloff · Trade Policy | Close below stop $865.46 |
#1:ARM ranked #1 because largest expected range + highest probability + best reward/risk
Oil Selloff / Trade Policy Whipsaw
EV $+81 (win +$120 @ 82.0% · loss -$95)
「做多 ARM:在 282.73 附近入场,目标 291.94,预期 +3.26%」
「波段做多 AMD:理想入场 $502.80–$524.00,止损 $463.55,目标 $600.94(约 +15.0%),持仓天数–数周」
H-2026-07-21-001 · AI/Semiconductor leads index today; macro is secondary variable
Scenario B:若 Oil Selloff 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Sector Edge
Why vs #2:ARM RS +3.4% vs AMD +2.7%;ER 3.4% vs 3.3%;Win% 82 vs 76;higher beta (3.5 vs 2.9);relative strength
final = win_prob(82%) × ER(3.4%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Trade Policy」→ SMH, NVDA, SPY
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 2.04% | -0.99% | ▼ |
| NVDA | 8.37% | +5.34% | ▲ |
| SPY | 3.29% | +0.26% | ▲ |