30 秒看懂:这不是炒股 App,也不会帮你下单。它每天自动做一套「晨会 → 盘中检查 → 收盘复盘」的研究报告,供你阅读和决策参考。
你唯一必须做的事:每个交易日收盘后花约 5 分钟去核对——告诉系统今天猜对了还是猜错了。核对越多,Agent 才会越用越准。
首页「Morning 一页纸 · 决策卡」每天 5 行 + Hypothesis。下面是一个假例子,帮你理解每行含义:
NYSE 休市日(周末、法定假日)没有当日报告,这是正常的——系统不会生成 Driver、决策卡或 Step 更新。
此时请点首页的「上一交易日」链接,查看最近一份完整报告。休市期间的新闻摘要(如有)仅供参考,不构成交易决策。
美股每日研究 · Step 0 → Step 8 · Learning Flywheel v2
先给机会,再给分析 — 无需翻页
#1:MU ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Primary → Secondary → Tertiary · 盘中可更新
The Stock Market Just Flashed a Warning Sign Only Seen Once Before in 155 Years
XLE +0.0% · 3 oil headlines
tariff — Arabica Coffee Prices Hit Record on U.S., Colombia Tariff Spat
Geopolitical Risk + Geopolitical Risk + Oil Selloff
Gate:Wait
| # | Ticker | Dir | Hz | Win% | ER% | R:R | Ideal Entry | Alt Entry | Status | Stop | Target | Why Today | Catalyst | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MU MU ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability |
LONG | — | 77.0% | 5.56% | Reward/Risk 1.09 | Entry Zone 982–988 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$935.0 | $1039.88 | RS vs QQQ +4.31% · 昨日强势 +6.8% 今日 gap 可控 · News 1 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk | Close below stop $935.0 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 2 | AVGO | LONG | — | 71.0% | 5.6% | Reward/Risk 3.20 | Entry Zone 395.25–395.96 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$388.69 | $417.76 | RS vs QQQ +2.35% · 昨日强势 +8.6% 今日 gap 可控 · Gap 未过度延伸 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk | Close below stop $388.69 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 3 | ARM | LONG | — | 71.0% | 2.23% | Reward/Risk 0.59 | Entry Zone 311–313 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$300.15 | $318.83 | RS vs QQQ +2.93% · 昨日强势 +3.8% 今日 gap 可控 · Gap 未过度延伸 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk | Close below stop $300.15 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
| 4 | AMD | LONG | — | 71.0% | 2.85% | Reward/Risk 1.05 | Entry Zone 527–530 | — |
EXPIRED
Abandon today |
$514.4 | $543.81 | RS vs QQQ +2.17% · 昨日强势 +3.6% 今日 gap 可控 · Gap 未过度延伸 | Geopolitical Risk · Geopolitical Risk | Close below stop $514.4 · Geopolitical escalation invalidates mean-reversion |
#1:MU ranked #1 because weakest RS + largest expected range + highest probability
Geopolitical Risk / Geopolitical Risk Whipsaw
EV $+31 (win +$55 @ 77.0% · loss -$50)
「做多 MU:在 985.14 附近入场,目标 1039.88,预期 +5.56%」
H-2026-07-09-001 · AI/Semiconductor leads index today; macro is secondary variable
Scenario B:若 Geopolitical Risk 强于预期 + QQQ < 昨低 → Put / 放弃 · Scenario C:若 QQQ 震荡 → 不交易
Edge:Stock Edge
Why vs #2:MU RS +4.3% vs AVGO +2.4%;ER 4.0% vs 3.9%;Win% 77 vs 71;higher beta (5.0 vs 3.2);relative strength
final = win_prob(77%) × ER(4.0%) × rr_weight(0.5) / 100
Driver「Political — Geopolitical Risk」→ XLE, UUP, QQQ
| Symbol | 日涨跌 | vs QQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 17.15% | +16.17% | ▲ |
| UUP | — | — | — |
| QQQ | 0.98% | +0.00% | — |